In the mobile-first economy, app store metrics have become a leading indicator of company performance. Before a company reports declining engagement, it often shows up in their app ratings. Here’s how to use this data for investment analysis.
Why App Store Data Matters
Mobile apps are the primary interface between many companies and their customers. App store data reveals:
- User satisfaction – Star ratings and reviews
- Growth trends – Download counts and install velocity
- Competitive positioning – Ratings vs competitors
- Product issues – Sudden rating drops often signal problems
Leading Indicator Advantage
App store metrics often move before financial results:
| Metric Change | Potential Implication |
|---|---|
| Rising ratings | Improving user experience → retention → revenue |
| Falling ratings | Product issues → churn → revenue decline |
| Download surge | User acquisition success → growth |
| Download decline | Market saturation or competition |
Key App Store Metrics
1. Star Ratings
Both Apple App Store and Google Play Store use 5-star rating systems:
| Rating | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| 4.5+ | Excellent – users love the product |
| 4.0 - 4.5 | Good – solid user experience |
| 3.5 - 4.0 | Average – room for improvement |
| Below 3.5 | Concerning – potential product issues |
2. Ratings Count
The total number of ratings indicates:
- App popularity and scale
- User engagement (people who bother to rate)
- Statistical significance of the score
3. Download/Install Count
Google Play shows install ranges (e.g., “500M+ downloads”). This indicates:
- Market penetration
- User acquisition success
- Total addressable market capture
Accessing App Store Data
from finbrain import FinBrainClient
fb = FinBrainClient(api_key="YOUR_API_KEY")
# Get app ratings for Uberdf = fb.app_ratings.ticker("S&P 500", "UBER", as_dataframe=True)
print(df.tail())# playStoreScore playStoreRatingsCount appStoreScore playStoreInstallCount# date# 2024-01-15 4.3 32500000 4.7 500000000# 2024-01-14 4.3 32480000 4.7 500000000
# Calculate rating changesdf["play_change"] = df["playStoreScore"].diff()df["app_change"] = df["appStoreScore"].diff()
# Detect significant dropssignificant_drops = df[(df["play_change"] < -0.1) | (df["app_change"] < -0.1)]print(f"\nSignificant rating drops: {len(significant_drops)}")Investment Use Cases
1. Detecting Product Issues Early
A sudden rating drop often precedes negative earnings surprises:
def detect_rating_decline(df, threshold=-0.1, window=7): """Detect significant rating declines""" df = df.copy()
# Calculate rolling change df["play_delta"] = df["playStoreScore"].diff(periods=window) df["app_delta"] = df["appStoreScore"].diff(periods=window)
# Find declines declines = df[ (df["play_delta"] < threshold) | (df["app_delta"] < threshold) ]
return declines[["playStoreScore", "appStoreScore", "play_delta", "app_delta"]]
declines = detect_rating_decline(df)if not declines.empty: print("Warning: Rating decline detected") print(declines)2. Comparing Competitors
Compare ratings across competitors in the same space:
def compare_competitors(tickers, market="S&P 500"): """Compare app ratings across competitors""" fb = FinBrainClient(api_key="YOUR_API_KEY") results = []
for ticker in tickers: try: df = fb.app_ratings.ticker(market, ticker, as_dataframe=True) if df.empty: continue
latest = df.iloc[-1] results.append({ "ticker": ticker, "play_score": latest["playStoreScore"], "app_score": latest["appStoreScore"], "play_ratings": latest["playStoreRatingsCount"], "avg_score": (latest["playStoreScore"] + latest["appStoreScore"]) / 2 }) except: continue
return sorted(results, key=lambda x: x["avg_score"], reverse=True)
# Compare rideshare companiesrideshare = compare_competitors(["UBER", "LYFT"])for r in rideshare: print(f"{r['ticker']}: Play {r['play_score']}, iOS {r['app_score']}")3. Tracking Growth Trends
Monitor download growth over time:
def analyze_growth(df): """Analyze app growth metrics""" df = df.copy()
# Ratings velocity (new ratings per day) df["new_ratings"] = df["playStoreRatingsCount"].diff()
# Average new ratings avg_new_ratings = df["new_ratings"].mean()
# Growth trend recent = df["new_ratings"].tail(7).mean() previous = df["new_ratings"].tail(30).head(23).mean()
if recent > previous * 1.2: trend = "accelerating" elif recent < previous * 0.8: trend = "decelerating" else: trend = "stable"
return { "avg_daily_ratings": avg_new_ratings, "recent_velocity": recent, "trend": trend }
growth = analyze_growth(df)print(f"Growth trend: {growth['trend']}")print(f"Average daily new ratings: {growth['avg_daily_ratings']:,.0f}")4. Building Screening Signals
Create a simple screen based on app metrics:
def app_quality_screen(tickers, market="S&P 500"): """Screen stocks based on app quality metrics""" fb = FinBrainClient(api_key="YOUR_API_KEY") passed = []
for ticker in tickers: try: df = fb.app_ratings.ticker(market, ticker, as_dataframe=True) if df.empty: continue
latest = df.iloc[-1]
# Quality criteria play_ok = latest["playStoreScore"] >= 4.0 app_ok = latest["appStoreScore"] >= 4.0 scale_ok = latest["playStoreRatingsCount"] >= 1000000
# Rating trend (not declining) if len(df) >= 30: month_ago = df.iloc[-30]["playStoreScore"] trend_ok = latest["playStoreScore"] >= month_ago - 0.1 else: trend_ok = True
if play_ok and app_ok and scale_ok and trend_ok: passed.append({ "ticker": ticker, "play_score": latest["playStoreScore"], "app_score": latest["appStoreScore"], "ratings_millions": latest["playStoreRatingsCount"] / 1_000_000 })
except: continue
return passed
# Screen consumer tech stocksconsumer_tech = ["UBER", "LYFT", "ABNB", "DASH", "SPOT", "NFLX"]quality = app_quality_screen(consumer_tech)
print("=== Stocks Passing App Quality Screen ===")for q in quality: print(f"{q['ticker']}: {q['play_score']}/5 Play, {q['app_score']}/5 iOS ({q['ratings_millions']:.1f}M ratings)")Which Companies to Analyze
App store data is most relevant for:
| Sector | Examples |
|---|---|
| Consumer tech | UBER, LYFT, ABNB, DASH |
| Streaming | NFLX, SPOT, DIS |
| Social media | META, SNAP, PINS |
| Fintech | SQ, PYPL, AFRM |
| Gaming | EA, TTWO, RBLX |
| E-commerce | AMZN, EBAY, ETSY |
| Food delivery | DASH, UBER (Eats) |
Less relevant for B2B companies (enterprise software, industrial, etc.) where apps aren’t the primary customer interface.
Limitations
Keep these factors in mind:
| Limitation | Consideration |
|---|---|
| Rating manipulation | Some companies incentivize positive reviews |
| App vs company | App ratings may not reflect overall business health |
| Platform differences | iOS and Android users may behave differently |
| Category context | 4.0 in gaming is different than 4.0 in banking |
Key Takeaways
- App ratings can be leading indicators of user satisfaction and company performance
- Ratings below 4.0 warrant investigation
- Sudden rating drops often precede negative news
- Compare competitors within the same category
- Most valuable for consumer-facing tech companies
Track app store metrics with the App Ratings Dataset and API Reference.