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FinBrain Blog

Insights on AI-powered trading and alternative data

How to Read ARIMA Price Forecasts with Confidence Intervals

A practical guide to interpreting ARIMA price forecasts — what mid, lower, and upper bounds mean, how confidence intervals grow with forecast horizon, and how to use them in trading decisions.

Why We Chose Statistical Models Over Deep Learning for Price Forecasting

After building a neural network for stock price forecasting and watching it overfit, we moved to ARIMA. Here's why statistical models outperform deep learning on noisy financial time series.

Using Reddit Mentions and News Sentiment Together

How to combine FinBrain's Reddit mention data with news sentiment analysis to identify retail attention spikes and confirm or challenge the prevailing market narrative.

Tracking Federal Contract Awards for Investment Signals

How to use FinBrain Terminal's Government Contracts screener and ticker page to identify companies with growing federal revenue exposure and contract momentum.

Cross-Asset COT Signal Analysis: From Positioning to Price Action

How to combine CFTC Commitments of Traders data across equities, bonds, commodities, and currencies to identify crowded trades and positioning-driven reversals.

Monitoring Geopolitical Risk with FinBrain Intelligence

How to use the FinBrain Terminal's geopolitical globe, intel feed, and prediction markets to monitor global risk events and assess their potential market impact.

Building a Macro Dashboard with FinBrain Terminal

Step-by-step guide to setting up a daily macro monitoring workflow using FinBrain Terminal's yield curves, COT positioning, prediction markets, and fiscal indicators.

EIA Data Explained: What Oil Inventories Tell Investors

Learn how EIA crude oil inventories, natural gas storage, and production data drive energy prices, and how to interpret weekly inventory reports for trading signals.

What is the ECB Systemic Stress Index (CISS)?

Learn how the ECB Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress measures financial system health across money markets, bonds, equities, FX, and financial intermediaries.

What is OSINT? Open-Source Intelligence for Financial Markets

Learn how open-source intelligence (OSINT) methods help investors monitor geopolitical risk, supply chain disruptions, and market-moving events before they hit mainstream news.

What is the Crypto Fear and Greed Index? Market Sentiment Explained

Understand the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, how it's calculated, what each level signals, and how contrarian traders use extreme readings for timing decisions.

What Are Prediction Markets? How They Price Geopolitical Risk

Learn how prediction markets aggregate real-money bets into event probabilities, and how investors use them to quantify geopolitical, economic, and political risk.