Fixed Income
The Fixed Income page provides tools for yield curve analysis, central bank rate monitoring, credit stress tracking, and US fiscal data. These indicators are essential for understanding interest rate environments, credit conditions, and sovereign risk.
US Treasury Yield Curve
Section titled “US Treasury Yield Curve”An interactive line chart displaying US Treasury par yields across the full maturity spectrum:
Maturities covered: 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 5 years, 7 years, 10 years, 20 years, 30 years
Curve Interpretation
Section titled “Curve Interpretation”| Shape | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Normal (upward sloping) | Longer maturities yield more than shorter — indicates market expects economic growth |
| Flat | Similar yields across maturities — transition period, uncertainty about direction |
| Inverted (downward sloping) | Short-term rates exceed long-term — historically precedes recessions |
The widget includes automatic inversion detection, highlighting when the curve inverts. A compact version of this chart also appears on the Dashboard.
EUR Yield Curve
Section titled “EUR Yield Curve”AAA-rated European sovereign bond yields from the ECB, providing a comparable view of European rate expectations. This curve covers EUR government bonds with the highest credit quality.
Like the US curve, this widget includes inversion detection. Comparing the US and EUR curves side-by-side reveals divergences in monetary policy expectations across the Atlantic.
Central Bank Policy Rates
Section titled “Central Bank Policy Rates”A table of official policy rates from 12 major central banks, sourced from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS):
| Column | Description |
|---|---|
| Central Bank | Institution name and country |
| Current Rate | Current policy rate percentage |
| Last Change | Direction and magnitude of the most recent adjustment |
| Effective Date | Date the current rate became effective |
This provides a single view of the global rate environment without needing to check each central bank individually.
Interbank Rates
Section titled “Interbank Rates”Short-term funding rates that reflect conditions in the interbank lending market:
Rates Covered
Section titled “Rates Covered”- EURIBOR — Euro Interbank Offered Rate across multiple tenors
- ESTR — Euro Short-Term Rate (ECB overnight reference rate)
Each rate includes a 30-day trend sparkline showing recent movement. A summary grid highlights the four key rates with their current values.
The ESTR history chart displays the overnight rate over time, providing context for ECB policy transmission into money markets.
Systemic Stress Index
Section titled “Systemic Stress Index”The ECB Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress (CISS) with a 52-week history chart. The CISS measures stress across five financial market segments: money market, bond market, equity market, FX market, and financial intermediaries.
Reading the Stress Index
Section titled “Reading the Stress Index”| Level | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| Low (near 0) | Calm market conditions, low systemic risk |
| Moderate (0.2-0.4) | Elevated stress in one or more segments |
| High (above 0.4) | Significant systemic stress across multiple market segments |
The gauge visualization shows the current reading, while the area chart provides historical context to assess whether stress is building or subsiding.
US Fiscal Dashboard
Section titled “US Fiscal Dashboard”Key US government fiscal indicators presented in a 2x2 metrics grid:
| Metric | Description |
|---|---|
| National Debt | Total outstanding federal debt |
| Public Debt | Debt held by the public (excluding intragovernmental holdings) |
| Monthly Deficit | Current month’s budget shortfall or surplus |
| FYTD Deficit | Fiscal year-to-date cumulative deficit |
An additional breakdown shows the effective interest rate on federal debt, providing context for the government’s borrowing costs relative to the yield curve.
Related Resources
Section titled “Related Resources”- Dashboard — Treasury yield curve widget
- Intelligence — COT positioning for bond futures
- Markets Hub — All asset class dashboards