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Monitoring Geopolitical Risk with FinBrain Intelligence

Monitoring Geopolitical Risk with FinBrain Intelligence

Geopolitical events don’t wait for market hours. A missile strike, a surprise sanctions package, or a naval incident at a shipping chokepoint can reprice assets before most traders check their screens. This tutorial shows how to use FinBrain Terminal’s Intelligence page to build a structured geopolitical monitoring workflow.

The Intelligence Page

The Intelligence page combines two tools designed to work together:

  1. Geopolitical Globe — Raw event data plotted on a 3D map
  2. Intel Feed — Expert analysis from domain specialists

Each tool serves a different function: the globe shows what happened, and the intel feed explains why it matters.

Step 1: Scan the Globe

FinBrain Terminal Intelligence

Start with the geopolitical globe to identify where events are occurring.

Regional Presets

Use the preset buttons to quickly check key areas:

Preset Why It Matters
Strait of Hormuz ~20% of global oil transits here. Any disruption affects crude prices globally
South China Sea Maritime territorial disputes. Escalation affects shipping, semiconductors, and Asia-Pacific equities
Europe NATO-adjacent conflicts, energy security, European equity risk
Middle East Ongoing conflicts affecting energy, defense, and regional equity markets

What to Look For

  • Clusters of events in a concentrated area — suggests escalation
  • New event types — protests evolving into armed conflict, or a new actor appearing
  • Events near infrastructure — pipelines, ports, shipping lanes, military bases
  • Events in previously quiet areas — may signal emerging risk

Click any marker for details: event type, date, data source, and description.

Data Source Context

Not all event sources carry equal weight:

Source Best For
ACLED Conflict events, protests, political violence — high reliability, moderate latency
UCDP Armed conflict fatality data — academic rigor, higher latency
GDELT Media-reported events — fastest updates, noisier signal
USGS Earthquakes and geological events — near real-time
EONET Natural disasters — NASA-sourced, comprehensive coverage
HAPI Humanitarian crises — displacement, food security

GDELT updates fastest but includes more noise. ACLED and UCDP are more curated but update less frequently. Use GDELT for breaking awareness and ACLED/UCDP for confirmed patterns.

Step 2: Read the Intel Feed

After identifying events of interest on the globe, switch to the intel feed for expert analysis.

Filtering by Category

Filter Use When
All Morning scan — see everything
Defense Military developments, procurement, force posture changes
OSINT Open-source investigations, satellite imagery analysis, digital forensics
Geopolitics International relations, diplomacy, sanctions, trade policy

Source Specializations

Each source has a distinct perspective:

  • Bellingcat — Read when you need verification of specific events (did this attack actually happen? what weapons were used?)
  • War on the Rocks — Read for strategic context (what does this event mean for broader military dynamics?)
  • CSIS — Read for policy implications (how might governments respond?)
  • Atlantic Council — Read for geopolitical framing (how does this fit into great power competition?)
  • Foreign Affairs — Read for diplomatic context (what are the negotiation dynamics?)
  • Breaking Defense — Read for defense industry impact (which companies are affected?)

Cross-Referencing

The most valuable insights come from combining the globe and intel feed:

Globe Shows Intel Says Possible Interpretation
Military buildup near border Analysts warn of escalation risk Watch for probability of conflict increasing in news flow
Protest activity in oil-producing region Analysts focused elsewhere Under-monitored risk — early signal before mainstream coverage
Decline in conflict events Ceasefire analysis positive Consensus forming — check if positioning has adjusted

Step 3: Assess Market Impact

Once you’ve identified a geopolitical risk, map it to financial instruments:

Impact Channels

Event Type Primary Impact Secondary Impact
Shipping lane disruption Oil prices, shipping rates Energy stocks, transportation
Sanctions announcement Targeted country’s currency and equities Global supply chain for affected sectors
Military escalation Defense stocks, safe havens (gold, USD, UST) Regional equities, currencies
Trade restriction Affected commodity prices Downstream manufacturers
Political instability Country/regional equities FX, sovereign bonds

Cross-Reference with Other Terminal Pages

After the Intelligence analysis, check the relevant asset class pages:

  • Commodities — EIA data for energy supply impact
  • Currencies — FX rate moves for currency impact
  • Fixed Income — Yield moves for safe-haven flows
  • Dashboard — Activity wire for insider/congressional trades in affected sectors

Building a Weekly Routine

Frequency Activity Time
Daily Quick globe scan of preset regions 2 min
Every 2-3 days Read intel feed for new analysis 5 min
Weekly Deep dive on any developing situations 10 min
Ad hoc When a specific event breaks As needed

The goal isn’t to read everything — it’s to maintain enough awareness that you’re not surprised by events that move your portfolio.